Tuesday, November 30, 2021

Why Crime Likely Won’t Be An Issue In The 2022 Midterms | FiveThirtyEight

Violent crime is up. Data from the FBI found that the murder rate increased nearly 30 percent in 2020. And homicides continue to rise in 2021 as well, if not by quite as much.

Americans have noticed. A Gallup poll released in November 2020 found that 78 percent of Americans thought that the national crime rate was higher than the year before — the highest that number has been since 1993, when it was 87 percent. More recently, an October report from the Pew Research Center found that 61 percent of Americans said violent crime was “a very big problem” in the U.S. today — a 20-percentage-point jump from roughly a year earlier.

But despite polls showing that Americans are increasingly worried about crime, there are a few reasons to believe that it may not be a large issue in the midterm elections next year. The biggest of which is that crime doesn’t offer a clear advantage to either political party.

via fivethirtyeight.com

Makes sense, sadly.


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Sure it does, who writes this drivel?

Posted by: Stu Buchalter | Nov 30, 2021 8:25:33 AM

Not specifically stated in the article is the fact the increase in crime is to a large extent a black-on-black problem--something we've not gotten too worked up over. POC will continue to vote Democrat and only a surge in crime that moves to the suburbs will make a difference politically.

Posted by: jmod46 | Nov 30, 2021 9:30:24 AM

I don’t know. The Democrats and BLM’s war on the police hasn’t gone unnoticed. If the GOP can limit the number of crazies it nominates, or at least keep them off Twitter, they should make strong gains.

Posted by: MikeCLT | Dec 1, 2021 5:12:10 PM

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