Tuesday, August 16, 2016
Unless the trajectory of the race changes, the Senate is highly likely to flip. Mark Kirk and Ron Johnson are almost certain goners and Pat Toomey and Kelly Ayotte both trail narrowly right now. The last poll of North Carolina also had Richard Burr down by two points. Assuming Hillary wins, Democrats would have Tim Kaine as the tiebreaking vote if they take four of those five races (unless the GOP flips Harry Reid’s seat to red in Nevada, that is). With all five, they wouldn’t need Kaine. Which means it’s very, very important that Republicans maintain their majority in the House. If that flips too, the only congressional check on President Hillary until 2018 would be Chuck Schumer’s willingness to protect the filibuster in the Senate. You trust Chuck Schumer, don’t you?
Oy vey chihuahua.