The Right Coast

Editor: Thomas A. Smith
University of San Diego
School of Law

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Friday, November 2, 2012

On Polling Models, Skewed & Unskewed | RedState

There’s a very large gulf between my conclusion, explained on Friday, that Obama is toast on Election Day and confident projections like Nate Silver’s poll-reading model still giving the president (at last check) a 77.4% chance of victory. Let me explain why, and what that says about the difference between my approach and Nate’s.

via www.redstate.com

http://rightcoast.typepad.com/rightcoast/2012/11/on-polling-models-skewed-unskewed-redstate.html

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