Thursday, November 8, 2012
The Pollster.com generic Congressional polls give a post-debate-1 median of D+1.0+/-0.5% (n=11, Oct. 4-22). However, 10% are still undecided. I estimate the outcome as D+1.0+/-3.0%. Republican retention of the House is likely but not certain. What is certain is that the House will be far more closely divided.
Hmmm. Is the House going to be far more closely divided? --TS