The Right Coast

Editor: Thomas A. Smith
University of San Diego
School of Law

A Member of the Law Professor Blogs Network

Friday, August 10, 2012

Landslide on the Horizon -

When I read Nate Silver, Sean Trende, Charlie Cook, Jay Cost, and the others who make a profession of political prognostication, I pay close attention to their attempts to dissect the polling data and predict what is to come. But I also take everything that they say with a considerable grain of salt. You see, I lived through the 1980 election, the fall of the Berlin Wall, and the collapse of the Soviet Union, and I was struck at the time by the fact that next to no one among the political scientists who made a living out of studying presidential elections, communism in eastern Europe, and Sovietology saw any of these upheavals coming. Virtually all of them were caught flat-footed.


My friend Paul Rahe predicts a landslide for Romney. Optimism is good; I wish I were more optimistic. Maybe if I meditated more. --TS

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There's optimism and there's "what have you been smoking?"

With the Media in the tank for O (still) and dead set against any Republican, it doesn't figure to be a landslide GOP win, and could well be an O win.

Posted by: titan | Aug 10, 2012 2:52:31 PM

"Could well be an O win"? That's putting it lightly. Check out my analysis over at

Posted by: Brightcoast | Aug 10, 2012 4:33:15 PM