Poll Numbers I Can SupportMike Rappaport

Obama is down to -8 on the Rasmussen Presidential Approval Index, much lower than he has been previously.  Things are looking better for the Carter/Clinton Scenario.  For what it is worth, Intrade has the chance of the Republicans taking over the House at approximately 25 percent.  A Republican House would close down the Obama legislative agenda, and open up the Administration to legislative oversight.  Intrade also has the Republicans taking over the Senate at approximately 10 percent.  The match-ups in the Senate are much worse for the Republicans, but the Republicans don't need to take over.  Having 45 Republicans Senators would do a great deal to limit the Obama's legislative desires.

Comments

[John A]

My "hope for change" is inchoate at the moment, but the 2010 House races, which brought in "centrist" and "moderate" Dems in some "red" States may be interesting as they try to gloss over voting for stuff like Cap-and-Tax.

[krome]

I think the country has almost always been better off with one piece of the executive/legislature trinity in oposeite party hands.